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3/11/2008 2:09 PM


Elite Pathogen

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Alrighty, is it just me or has this been a rather cold and long winter?  I know we've had discussions on Global Warming but I thought I'd start a thread so we could have a... ahem... debate on the issue.  Heck, we can even debate whether or not "the debate is over."  Sure it may just go to the thread grave yard but what the hell.

 

Climate dissent grows hotter as chill deepens


By Christopher Booker

Last week, virtually unreported in Britain, the extraordinary winter weather of 2008 elsewhere in the world continued. In the USA, there were blizzards as far south as Texas and Arkansas, while in northern states and Canada what they are calling "the winter from hell" has continued to break records going back in some cases to 1873. Meanwhile in Asia more details emerged of the catastrophe caused by the northern hemisphere's greatest snow cover since 1966.

In Afghanistan, where they have lost 300,000 cattle, the human death toll has risen above 1,500. In China, the havoc created by what its media call "the Winter Snow Disaster" has continued, not least in Tibet, where six months of snow and record low temperatures have killed 500,000 animals, leaving 3 million people on the edge of starvation.

It might have seemed timely that in New York an array of leading climatologists and other experts should have gathered for the most high-powered international conference yet to question the "consensus" on global warming. After three days of what the chairman called "the kind of free-spirited debate that is virtually absent from the global warming alarmist camp", the 500 delegates issued the Manhattan Declaration, stating that attempts by governments to reduce CO2 emissions would "markedly diminish further prosperity" while having "no appreciable impact" on the Earth's warming.

This inevitably attracted the kind of hysterical abuse that has become so familiar from warmist fanatics, tellingly contrasting with the measured arguments put forward by the scientists present. One was Anthony Watts, the meteorologist who last year famously forced Nasa's Goddard Institute to correct a fundamental error in its data on US surface temperatures, to show that the hottest decade of the 20th century was not the 1990s but the 1930s.

On his website, Watts Up With That, he is currently posting a corrected version of the global temperature graph, combining satellite and surface data from all four main official sources. A measure of his scrupulous reporting is that although this shows a recent dramatic dip in temperatures, he cautiously explains that it is not yet conclusive evidence that the world has entered a new cooling phase (as he points out, there was temporarily an even sharper drop after the "peak" El Niño year 1998).

But can we doubt that, if the data showed the opposite, the media would be rushing to report this as yet further "proof" that the planet is heating out of control? The fact is that, for all their caveats that this drop in temperatures can be explained by the cooling effect of La Niña, the official orthodoxy that "more CO2 means more warming" is facing its most serious challenge yet. In light of the colossal price we are all in so many ways being asked to pay for it, the data in coming years will be more than interesting.

3/11/2008 2:32 PM


Day-Saver!

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This made a stir in the local news here yesterday:


Baptists convert on global warming


Declaration says threat too grave to be dismissed

NEW YORK — In a major shift, a group of Southern Baptist leaders said their denomination has been "too timid" on environmental issues and has a biblical duty to stop global warming.

The declaration, signed by the president of the Nashville-based Southern Baptist Convention among others and released today, shows a growing urgency about climate change even within groups that once dismissed claims of an overheating planet as a liberal ruse. The conservative denomination has 16.3 million members and is the largest Protestant group in the U.S.

The signers of "A Southern Baptist Declaration on the Environment and Climate Change" acknowledged that not all Christians accept the science behind global warming. They said they do not expect fellow believers to back any proposed solutions that would violate Scripture, such as advocating population control through abortion.

However, the leaders said that current evidence of global warming is "substantial" and that the threat is too grave to wait for perfect knowledge about whether, or how much, people contribute to the trend.

"We believe our current denominational resolutions and engagement with these issues have often been too timid," according to the statement. "Our cautious response to these issues in the face of mounting evidence may be seen by the world as uncaring, reckless and ill-informed. We can do better."

Flaw seen in declaration

Robert Parham, executive director of the Baptist Center for Ethics in Nashville, has long recognized human-induced global warming and even wrote a page about it in his 1991 book, Loving Neighbors Across Time: A Christian Guide to Protecting the Earth and What Shall We Do in a Hungry World?

Parham, who considers himself a centrist Baptist, said Baptists have a moral obligation to care for the Earth. In an editorial on the Center for Ethics' Web site, he encourages congregations to take actions that include showing Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth and establishing committees for energy conservation.

"My brand of Baptist can accept the science and act to address global warming with an enthusiastic moral commitment," he said. "I think the biblical witness is crystal clear about the responsibility of human beings to look after the environment."

Parham sees a flaw in the Southern Baptists' declaration on global warming: their refusal to acknowledge human contributions to global warming because it is not part of "special revelation" from the Bible.

"They are seeing the science that others are seeing, but their the ology keeps them from being able to acknowledge, 100 percent, man-made global warming," Parham said. "But this is a baby step forward for very conservative Southern Baptists."

Signatories are who's who

No one speaks on behalf of all Southern Baptists, who leave decision-making to local churches. Yet, the signatories to the global-warming declaration represent some of the top figures in the convention.

Among them are the denomination's president, the Rev. Frank Page, of South Carolina; two former presidents, the Rev. James Merritt of Georgia and the Rev. Jack Graham of Texas; and the Rev. Ronnie Floyd of Arkansas, who helped conservatives solidify control of the denomination in the 1970s and 1980s.

Also backing the effort are presidents of three prominent Baptist-affiliated schools: David Dockery of Union University in Jackson, Tenn.; Timothy George of Samford University's Beeson Divinity School in Alabama; and Danny Akin of Southeastern Baptist Theological Seminary in North Carolina. More than 35 people signed the statement.

Supporters plan to collect more signatures for the declaration through www.baptistcreationcare.org and encourage congregations to advocate for environmental protection.


3/11/2008 2:40 PM


Junkyard Dawg - Any questions?!

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I, frankly, am not 100% convinced whether it is real or not. I remember some pretty big snowfalls when I was a kid, growing up in Texas (mid 60's). This winter, in New Hampshire, wasn't particularly cold. In fact, it was milder - resulting in a lot of snowfall and some rain/sleet/ice. Like I said though, I thought it was mild in the sense that we didn't get the frigid temps in January/February like in the past. I much prefer the snowfall to the 0 degree temps with 20+ mph winds coming out of Canada.

There seems to be a lot of people in panic mode about it. I've never seen people react properly, intelligently or logically when in that mode though. Those kind of people I approach with great caution. You never know in which direction they may stampede next.
3/11/2008 4:05 PM


Designated Norwegian

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It might have seemed timely that in New York an array of leading climatologists and other experts should have gathered for the most high-powered international conference yet to question the "consensus" on global warming.


-Funny. But wrong. Firstly, I see no more reason to argue global warming than the theory of evolution. Secondly, the quoted article is written by a stupid person who has no idea what he's talking about. Thirdly, the ignorance displayed by some(Do I dare say most?) people on this forum on the subject of global warming is simply to great to be remedied.

-For some actual reading on global warming, start here(The SPM is a summary which might be easier to digest).
3/11/2008 8:12 PM


Designated Norwegian

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-Did I kill the thread?
3/11/2008 8:53 PM


Elite Pathogen

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He he, not yet. 

-Funny. But wrong. Firstly, I see no more reason to argue global warming than the theory of evolution. Secondly, the quoted article is written by a stupid person who has no idea what he's talking about. Thirdly, the ignorance displayed by some(Do I dare say most?) people on this forum on the subject of global warming is simply to great to be remedied.

1. Seeing as how the theory of man made global warming is rather new and with far less data, that seems a bit absurd.  There are also many facets to the "debate".  There's, the question of whether it exists, the question of how much it exists, there's the question of the effects and so on and so forth.  The concensus among scientists is that Man Made Global Warming does exist.  How much and what it means is not nearly as cut and dry. 

2. He may not know what he's talking about but how do you know he's stupid?  He may have flawed reasoning but stupid is a stretch. 

3. You may be right but I don't recall many discussions on the matter so I'm not sure how you come to that conclusion.  I think I understand the concepts to a degree (though I'm no expert by any means).  Anyway, I'm not trying to convince anyone of anything, just open up the discussion. 

-For some actual reading on global warming, start here(The SPM is a summary which might be easier to digest).

I have heard much of the data given by the IPCC as well as their conclusions.  I am curious as to a polling of the actual Climatologists present on their views so we could get an accurate count of how "unanimous" it was but I can't find anything.  Also there are real questions about how unbiassed the IPCC was. 

Chris Landsea Leaves IPCC

It is beyond me why my colleagues would utilize the media to push an unsupported agenda that recent hurricane activity has been due to global warming. Given Dr. Trenberth’s role as the IPCC’s Lead Author responsible for preparing the text on hurricanes, his public statements so far outside of current scientific understanding led me to concern that it would be very difficult for the IPCC process to proceed objectively with regards to the assessment on hurricane activity. My view is that when people identify themselves as being associated with the IPCC and then make pronouncements far outside current scientific understandings that this will harm the credibility of climate change science and will in the longer term diminish our role in public policy.

Please read the whole thing but I think that's the most relevant paragraph (you know, to get you hooked .  I also checked out that Watts Up With That blog and it's actually rather interesting.  He's not an ideologue but he does question some of the methodology of data collection visa vis, Climate Change.  He's been doing hands on research, not just checking things out on the net... like me

His weather stations research is rather alarming actually.  If all the data we get on climate change is this sloppy, it's very concerning indeed.

3/11/2008 8:56 PM


Elite Warlord

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Road  Kill you bad bad bad boy LMAO you didn't kill the thread yet   We have had lots of big snow flacks, In '93 I remember that on in PA, and 2 or 3 years later  PA and when i was in Chicago in the late 60's I remember digging a tunnel to get out and we where standing on cars  Chicago was shut DOWN pick town. LMAO
3/11/2008 9:34 PM